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VISIT OF UKRAINE’S PRIME MINISTER YULIYA TYMOSHENKO TO MOSCOW
YULIYA TISHCHENKO,
Analyst, Ukrainian Independent Centre for Political Studies, Kyiv
The visit of Prime Minister of Ukraine, Yuliya Tymoshenko, to Moscow on February 20-21 was made against a background of deterioration of her relations with President Viktor Yushchenko. Of course, Ukraine’s relations with Russia are an independent aspect of Ukraine’s foreign policy. At the same time, they emphasize the peculiarities of the relations between the President and Prime Minister of Ukraine.
Now many in Ukraine define the relations between Yushchenko and Tymoshenko as a “cold war”, the President and Premier continue to compete with each other for power. In part this situation resembles the conflict between Viktor Yushchenko and former Premier Viktor Yanukovych. On the other hand, there is no obvious antagonism between Yushchenko and Tymoshenko.
There are major differences in the President-Cabinet-Parliament triangle. The big question mark here is whether the President manages to strengthen his hand. For that Yushchenko must be supported by the Parliament. But the Parliament’s activities are blocked, which in its turn adversely affects the Cabinet’s efficiency. Yushchenko can try to extend his powers through the National Constitutional Council ignoring the Verkhovna Rada of Ukraine and holding the general referendum.
Under such circumstances, there is no predicting the developments. It is unclear whether the existing democratic coalition and Tymoshenko’s Cabinet will stand up. Conflicts are often situational, the President and the Prime Minister seek to exert stronger influence upon the governors, political parties, etc. But there is no strategy that could be made public. Even the government’s program has not been approved yet.
Thus, the foreign policy pursued by the President and the Prime Minister makes apparent the tensions between Yushchenko and Tymoshenko. We can see their competition in many aspects including the electoral dimension. Tymoshenko is more popular than Yushchenko and the latter cannot be happy with that. In particular, I am referring to the creation of a new pro-president party on the initiative of Head of the Presidential Secretariat Viktor Baloha. But it is doubtful that this party could win if early parliamentary elections were called.
In the current situation it is Viktor Yanukovych, the leader of the Party of Regions, who loses. For example, the consultations of the big business, which represents Ukraine’s eastern regions, with the President are bad for Yanukovych. Yushchenko’s attempts to get more popular in Ukraine’s southern and eastern regions by means of the slogan of Ukraine’s unity also undermine Yanukovych’s position. Yushchenko will be able to become more popular, but Tymoshenko’s supporters are unlikely to come over to Yushchenko’s side.
February 21, 2008
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It is not even the matter of her astounding charisma and the iron will – Yulia Tymoshenko managed to sense the optimal propaganda strategy capable of uniting the both banks of the Dnieper, both parts of Ukraine.
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03.12.2007
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25.09.2007
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13.06.2007
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Expert forum
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02.10.2007
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John Marone |
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Once again, Russia has resorted to threats and bullying in an ongoing effort to keep Ukraine subservient. And once again, its weapon of choice is gas. Most colonial divorces have been characterized by the colony cutting off the colonizer from its supply of natural resources. But with Russia, the situation is exactly the opposite - at least that's the way it seems on the surface.
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John Marone |
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Ukrainian Prime Minister Yulia Tymoshenko’s long running efforts to break the stranglehold on her country’s gas supplies are beginning to pay off – due to assistance from an unlikely ally. Russia, which has been widely accused of using gas sales to put geopolitical pressure on Ukraine and other Western neighbors, now appears to be cleaning up its act.
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John Marone |
21.01.2008
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It’s a new year, and Ukraine has a new government headed by a fiery reformer with a penchant for making high-stake gambles. Prime Minister Yulia Tymoshenko is known as the gas queen – more for how she earned her money back in the 1990’s than for how she has tried to clean up her country’s gas sector in more recent years. But clean it up she has tried, against highly formidable of opponents at home and abroad.
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John Marone |
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MAKE WAY FOR THE LADY IN BRAIDS
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John Marone |
19.12.2007
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Yulia Tymoshenko was approved as Ukrainian prime minister on December 18. This marks the beginning of Ms. Yulia's second stint as head of government. She was nominated both times by pro-Western president Viktor Yushchenko, whom she helped rise to power during the country's 2004 Orange Revolution, and then hold on to authority during this year's power struggle.
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UKRAINE'S ‘HUNGER’ FOR HISTORICAL JUSTICE
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John Marone |
07.11.2007
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There's nothing like a national tragedy to build a nation, especially if the details of the tragedy are buried in history, and the blame for it can be put on a regional bully. Ukraine's Holodomor is such a tragedy. Yes, at least three million hapless Ukrainians died of hunger, disease and privation in 1932-1933, and No, they shouldn't be forgotten - by anyone.
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LIES, DAMN LIES AND UKRAINE'S WTO BID
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John Marone |
30.10.2007
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The motivation of Ukrainian businessmen with influence if not seats in parliament to keep out foreign competition should not be underestimated. One need only do a quick cost comparison of what consumers are forced to pay in the Ukrainian capital for food, clothing, mobile communications, etc. in order to guess what kind of profits are at risk from a freer market.
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THE VOTES AFTER THE VOTE
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John Marone |
22.10.2007
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Ukraine held general elections on September 30, but power sharing in the country remains to be decided in subsequent voting devoid of public participation and full of backroom intrigue. For a second time in a row, Ukraine has pulled off an internationally accepted demonstration of the people's will, with rank and file citizens putting an end to a crippling stand off between their two highest executive leaders.
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WHAT COUNTS IN UKRAINE AFTER THE VOTE
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John Marone |
08.10.2007
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With parties heir to Ukraine's Orange Revolution perched to retake full control of the country’s executive, Orange president Viktor Yushchenko is again demonstrating the kind of dubious indecision that cost them the government in the first place. His one-time revolutionary sidekick, opposition leader Yulia Tymoshenko, was the real winner in the September 30 snap elections, earning enough votes to come back as premier.
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John Marone |
01.10.2007
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The queen of Ukrainian politics, opposition leader Yulia Tymoshenko, was the unofficial victor in Ukraine’s snap elections on Sunday, with exit polls indicating she will head the next government. But Tymoshenko’s ascension to power will be anything but a sexy saunter, as her enemies are unlikely to allow themselves to be sidelined by a pretty populist.
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UKRAINE’S NATO DILEMMA
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John Marone |
16.07.2007
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To be or not to be a member of NATO – that is the question for Ukrainians, who still aren’t in a position to decide the issue. Public opinion polls conducted in the country continue to show that most Ukrainians are against joining the Western military alliance. But advocates of NATO membership insist that Ukrainians have not been given an accurate picture of what the alliance is about.
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Author’s opinion on other topics
VIKTOR YUSHCHENKO VS YULIYA TYMOSHENKO: BUSINESS RULES ARE APPLIED TO UKRAINE’S POLITICS
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16 February 2009
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There are several deep-rooted causes for the President-Prime Minister confrontation in Ukraine. The first one is the presidential election is not far off. Yuliya Tymoshenko is one of the main potential presidential candidates and rivals of both Viktor Yushchenko and Viktor Yanukovych.
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WILL A UNITED “ORANGE” PARTY BE CREATED IN UKRAINE?
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28 June 2007
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President of Ukraine Viktor Yushchenko wishes to create a united party on the basis of the Our Ukraine bloc after the early parliamentary elections in Fall 2007, and there may be several reasons for that.
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YULIYA TYMOSHENKO BLOC AND OUR UKRAINE BLOC BOYCOTT THE SESSIONS OF THE VERKHOVNA RADA
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15 March 2007
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I want to stress that the early elections are out of the question. Boycotting the Parliament is a demonstrative step the opposition took to show its political resource and political influence.
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OUR UKRAINE MINISTERS RESIGNATION
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20 October 2006
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There is practically no chance for Our Ukraine Bloc to ouster the Yuliya Tymoshenko Bloc from its niche of the opposition leader.
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POLITICAL SITUATION IN UKRAINE
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31 July 2006
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The most important issue of the talks between the main Ukrainian political forces is a candidate for the premiership. This issue is of fundamental importance.
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FORMATION OF THE GOVERNMENT COALITION IN UKRAINE
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27 June 2006
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The statement made by Yuliya Tymoshenko about forming the “orange” government coalition can be viewed as the denouement of the negotiations between the Yuliya Tymoshenko Bloc, Our Ukraine bloc and the Socialist Party of Ukraine.
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23 May 2006
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Recently GUAM’s ideology has been slightly changed. Pragmatic interests are still major item on the agenda. But they are now complemented by political slogans.
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