Main page                           
Eurasian Home - analytical resource



BORIS  KAGARLITSKY, MOSCOW
ODD QUESTIONS

Print version               


Leaving Moscow two weeks ago was a kind of relief. 

Fed up with endless talks about Putin’s successor, I was glad to find people in New York being concerned about utterly different questions. In the U.S. they don’t ask “WHO will be after Putin?” but “WHAT will be after Bush?”. Do you see the difference?

When our President Vladimir Putin had announced about his intention to become an MP, the political discourse in the country became still more reminiscent of conversations of the mentally ill people. 

The problem with these “debates” is that they are utterly aimless. People in Russia never go further than successors’ names, their private life and how they get on with their contenders. We pay too much attention to governmental reshuffles, which in the end of the day hardly tell on the composition of the government, on changes for the better that are never to happen, on status and appointments that turn out to be “technical”. Here in Russia we are being fooled by the elections where the victors are nominated and by the victors, whose main trump card is that people don’t know them. 

Unlike the Russian citizens Americans are given the list of presidential hopefuls beforehand. And while in Russian the list of candidates is growing larger with every new day, American primaries inevitably shorten the list of presidential hopefuls. It is not a brain twister to figure out the name of the frontrunner. But people in the U.S. are more concerned about politics, not names. 

Some finer points are similar, though. In America just like in Russia the candidates in their declarations draw a veil over the most burning questions. What future awaits Iraq? What can be done to overcome the real estate market crises? Will the new president change the immigration policy? Will he choose to reform the expensive and inefficient private enterprise health care system? American citizens would like to have publicly funded Medicare health care system like in Canada, though little has been changed within the last twenty years. 

The American presidential wannabes are good at answering such questions in a round about way. But nobody can prevent the citizens, the press, one’s political opponents from raising these questions.

In Russia social scientists are guessing who of the candidates has appealed to the incumbent president. In the US winning at the election is more about getting support of the majority of social groups. How will vote the Hispanics and Black Americans? Whom will support the south and the north? 

In Russia the authorities from time to time spring a surprise on people to make them follow the nationwide political reality show. American citizens on the contrary bewilder their politicians. 

In the United States one has to consider interest of the minorities. Until recently American politicians have been at home with talking about immigration in front of the Hispanic electorate, racial discrimination with the Black Afro-Americans and support to the Israeli state with the Jews. Along with that one had to comfort the WASP electorate about their future. For decades official politicians in Washington have been trying to incite their electorate reminding people that they know their concerns and hopes and practicing in liberal political correctness coupled with conservative Christian values. And what do they get now? Recent polls show that there are lesser ethnicity-sensitive issues. Latin-Americans are more concerned about health care issues than about distant relatives from Mexico. Afro-Americans simply want to earn more money – there’s no point in speculations about racial discrimination. And the Jews want their children to get good education in the USA. Social and economic issues have come to the fore. These problems unite people depending on their incomes, not the color. Americans await the crisis and want the politicians to come forward with the plan to defuse it. Alas, the American officials simply don’t have such a program just as Russia’s Putin doesn’t have any secret plan to delegate power. 

There is no hidden agenda, for here is no agenda at all. And that is not a secret any longer. 

The American society wants changes and is afraid of changes. Americans want the politicians to rise to a challenge. The Russian society is also afraid of changes, but doesn’t want to change at all. Russians don’t demand their politicians to do anything about it – people are afraid of the authorities’ reaction.

The Russians think that unlike the Americans they have deep historic roots and intensive spiritual life. That’s why we don’t ask pragmatic questions, don’t try to understand what will happen to us tomorrow and where the conducted policy will lead us. Russians are fatalists, and that explains everything: with all the fatalism of an ancient civilization we accept that little depend on us.

Probably, our pessimism is a wiser position than their overwhelming optimism. Memory of generations of Russians suggests that the changes almost always lead to troubles and initiatives of the authorities inevitably complicate people’s lives. We will remember Vladimir Putin’s epoch as an eventless and boring.

In Russia, when a boring epoch ends dreadful not joyful times usually come.

Boris Kagarlitsky is Director of the Institute of Globalization and Social Movements

October 19, 2007



Our readers’ comments



There are no comments on this article.

You will be the first.

Send a comment

Other materials on this topic
Hot topics
Digest

18.10.2007

RFE/RL: INSIDE THE CORPORATION: RUSSIA'S POWER ELITE

Russia is run by a collective leadership -- the Kremlin Corporation's board of directors, so to speak. Putin is the front man and public face for an elite group of seasoned bureaucrats.

02.10.2007

RFE/RL: PUTIN MAKES NEXT MOVE IN 'OPERATION SUCCESSOR'

The idea is to create a sort of super-prime minister role for Putin. Putin can then turn over the diminished presidency to Zubkov or another obedient successor.


Expert forum
TO WEAKEN PRIME MINISTER. RESHUFFLES IN THE RUSSIAN GOVERNMENT

OLEG REUT

30.09.2007

All the September 24 appointments were aimed at weakening the Prime Minister’s position and diluting his powers to a considerable degree.



Opinion
ARE YOU HIM?
Boris Kagarlitsky

05.10.2007

Don’t you fancy that the new Cabinet will bring about new policy. What can be revised is the status quo in the Russian high-rank bureaucracy. In the days of Fradkov’s premiership the Cabinet fell far from the ideal of a close-knit team or top-down management system. Each ministry had its own priorities and goals, with Premier Fradkov being only a coordinator.


LIKE A CRIME STORY
Boris Kagarlitsky

25.09.2007

Under the circumstances, telling stories about five mysterious candidates and keeping the nation and the bureaucrats themselves in the dark is irresponsible and testifies the Kremlin’s inability to control the situation. From the political point of view the situation is critical.


THE MITROFANOV ARGUMENT
Boris Kagarlitsky

12.09.2007

Why would the State Duma deputy Aleksey Mitrofanov change sides leaving Vladimir Zhirinovsky’s Liberal Democratic Party (LDPR) for Sergey Mironov’s “Fair Russia”? Given Mitrofanov’s public image that can only deter voters, it is very doubtful that “Fair Russia” will manage to capitalize on this acquisition. Mitrofanov was fine as Zhirinovsky’s right hand warming up the public every time before the great clown took the lead himself.


LIFE AFTER PUTIN
Boris Kagarlitsky

05.07.2007

The problem is that Vladimir Putin is the only official in Russia who has real authority or at least popularity at the level of the whole nation. No other bureaucrat can pretend to grade up to the incumbent president in popular support ratings. Resentment against the bureaucrats is the dominant social feeling. 



Our authors
  Ivan  Gayvanovych, Kiev

THE EXCHANGE

27 April 2010


Geopolitical influence is an expensive thing. The Soviet Union realized that well supporting the Communist regimes and movements all over the world including Cuba and North Korea. The current Russian authorities also understood that when they agreed that Ukraine would not pay Russia $40 billion for the gas in return for extension of the lease allowing Russia's Black Sea Fleet to be stationed in the Crimea.



  Aleh  Novikau, Minsk

KYRGYZ SYNDROME

20 April 2010


The case of Kurmanbek Bakiyev is consistent with the logic of the Belarusian authorities’ actions towards the plane crash near Smolensk. The decisions not to demonstrate the “Katyn” film and not to announce the mourning were made emotionally, to spite Moscow and Warsaw, without thinking about their consequences and about reaction of the society and the neighbouring countries.



  Akram  Murtazaev, Moscow

EXPLOSIONS IN RUSSIA

16 April 2010


Explosions take place in Russia again. The last week of March started with terrorist acts at the Moscow metro stations which were followed by blasts in the Dagestani city of Kizlar. The horror spread from the metro to the whole city.



  John  Marone, Kyiv

POOR RELATIONS – THE UKRAINIAN GOVERNMENT GOES TO MOSCOW

29 March 2010


Ukrainian President Viktor Yanukovych symbolically selected Brussels as his first foreign visit upon taking the oath of office in what can only be seen as an exercise in public relations. The new government of Prime Minister Mykola Azarov headed straight for Moscow shortly thereafter with the sole intention of cutting a deal.



  Boris  Kagarlitsky, Moscow

THE WRATH DAY LIKE A GROUNDHOG DAY

25 March 2010


The protest actions, which the Russian extraparliamentary opposition had scheduled for March 20, were held as planned, they surprised or frightened nobody. Just as it had been expected, the activists of many organizations supporting the Wrath Day took to the streets… but saw there only the policemen, journalists and each other.



  Jules  Evans, London

COLD SNAP AFTER SPRING IN THE MIDDLE EAST

17 June 2009


As I write, angry demonstrations continue in Tehran and elsewhere in the Islamic Republic of Iran, over what the young demonstrators perceive as the blatant rigging of the presidential election to keep Mahmoud Ahmadinejad in power for another five years. Reports suggest at least eight protestors have been killed by police.



  Kevin  O'Flynn, Moscow

THE TERRIBLE C-WORD

08 December 2008


The cri… no the word will not be uttered. Now that President Medvedev and Prime Minister Putin have finally allowed themselves to belatedly use the word, it’s becoming increasingly difficult for me to spit it out of these lips. It’s c-this and c-that. If there was C-Span in Russia then it would be c-ing all day and all night long.



 events
 news
 opinion
 expert forum
 digest
 hot topics
 analysis
 databases
 about us
 the Eurasia Heritage Foundation projects
 links
 our authors
Eurasia Heritage Foundation