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VISIT OF MIKHEIL SAAKASHVILI TO THE USA

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DAVID BERDZENISHVILI,
Сo-chairman of the parliamentary faction “Democratic Front” of the Republican Party, one of the United Opposition leaders, Tbilisi

The main purpose of the Georgian President Mikheil Saakashvili's visit to the USA is to enlist the support for Georgia’s joining NATO Action Plan that will be on the agenda of the April NATO summit in Bucharest. First and foremost, I am referring to the countries of the core Europe – France, Germany that may not back the Action Plan. The U.S. administration will try to convince them of the opposite.  After the dispersal of the 7 November 2007 peaceful demonstration and the 5 January presidential election those countries ask themselves whether Georgia is backsliding on democracy. On the other hand, the Russian factor is taken into account. 

I do not think that the Bucharest summit will come to the final decision about Georgia and Ukraine’s joining the Action Plan. Even if negative decision is taken, the summit participants will make it clear for Ukraine and Georgia that during the next six months this issue will be examined again. Almost all the Georgian policy-makers, not only the President and the ruling party, support Georgia’s joining NATO. 

Apart from that, the crisis domestic-policy situation should be taken into account here. The New Right Wing faction went on hunger strike in the Parliament and the members of the Opposition United Council did the same in front of the Parliament building. Those are influential forces. 

Other influential opposition forces, for example, the Republican Party, did not go on hunger strike. But we fully back the political demands made to the authorities. 

The point is that the authorities retracted the agreements reached and refused to carry on the dialogue when they amended the electoral laws and the Constitution in the way they would suit them. The opposition proposed electing 100 MPs through the party-list system and 50 on the regional lists, but the authorities accepted quite a different system: to elect 75 MPs through the party-list system and other 75 from single-seat constituencies. But this system is bad since, for instance, in fact Abkhazia and South Ossetia do not participate in the elections. 

So, the Republican Party suggests a new system: to elect 75 MPs on the party lists and other 75 from the multi-seat (from 3 to 5 seats) constituencies. 

On the threshold of the Bucharest summit it is important for the authorities to achieve the domestic political accord. Many European countries want a compromise to be reached between the Georgian authorities and opposition. We will see what will come of it. On the one hand, the authorities must show their unity. On the other hand, the authorities seek to win the parliamentary elections. But they will fail to do that legally. The authorities’ changing the laws in their interests will fan the opposition’s resistance.   

Currently hunger strikers feel worse and if something bad happens, this will ruin Saakashvili’s reputation. The fact that few people go on hunger strike does not mean that the protest voters have come over to Saakashvili’s side. If something happens to the hunger strikers, Saakashvili will become still less popular. Here it is significant that on March 19 the ruling party is going to put forward the package of proposals on the electoral laws, the contents of which have not been revealed. 

March 20, 2008




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