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JOHN MARONE, KYIV
WESTERN INTEGRATION – THE GREAT ORANGE HOPE
Ukrainian President Viktor Yushchenko and his one-time ally Prime Minister Yulia Tymoshenko have increasingly traded blows over the country’s budget, privatization, energy policy and, most recently, the Kyiv mayoral elections; however, when it comes to foreign policy, the two politicians who rose to power during Ukraine’s 2004 Orange Revolution show unusual and possibly even unintended solidarity.
Orange unity is particularly evident under Russian pressure, which has grown in direct relation to the factionalism and political infighting so characteristic of Yushchenko's Ukraine.
So when Russia’s state Duma proposed on June 4 that Russia pull out of the so-called Great Treaty on Friendship and Partnership with Ukraine if Kyiv continued to seek NATO membership, the lines that separated the Orange politicians from their eastern-looking opponents, the Communists and Donetsk-based Regions party, again became clear.
Speaking during a state visit to Slovenia the same day, Yushchenko said that Ukraine, as a sovereign nation, had the right to decide its own security. He added that his administration’s efforts to join NATO were not motivated by the perception of Russia as a threat.
“This is not a policy against a third country,” he said, “It isn’t a policy against one of our neighbors.”
Fresh from her party’s defeat in the Kyiv mayoral elections, a defeat facilitated by Yushchenko, who is wary of his premier's presidential ambitions, Tymoshenko didn’t shrink from the common Orange cause.
“Every radical step worsens the state of affairs between the two countries [Russia and Ukraine],” she told a press conference in Kyiv on Wednesday. “The government will do everything to ensure that cooperation between our countries is dignified.”
No less important, lawmakers from the pro-presidential Our Ukraine faction and Tymoshenko’s bloc were equally in unison in their condemnation of the Duma proposal.
But Orange solidarity is rare these days.
Ever since Tymoshenko returned as premier following last September’s snap elections, long standing tension between her and Yushchenko have remained at the boiling point.
Relations are so strained that both politicians have been accused of flirting with their common enemy from the Orange Revolution, former Prime Minister Viktor Yanukovych’s Regions party, in order to get the upper hand in time for next year’s presidential race.
Concerned about its own political future, Regions has been looking after the party’s bread and butter – Ukraine’s Russian-speaking south and east. It was in these regions that Tymoshenko, herself from the east, drew the extra voter support needed to replace Yanukovych as premier last fall. It’s also in places like the industrial Donbass or autonomous Crimean peninsula where Russia sees its greatest influence.
Long supportive of issues such as making Russian a second official language in Ukraine and opposing NATO membership, Regions and its Communist allies in the parliament were quick to exploit the latest opportunity afforded them by the Duma to show their eastern orientation.
Lawmakers from both factions immediately blamed Ukraine for the Duma proposal in media statements that betrayed their anti-Western sentiment as much as their loyalty to Moscow.
Top Ukrainian Communist Petro Symonenko told journalists on June 4: “One has to admit that it is Ukraine that is doing the provoking.” According to Symonenko, the Ukrainian authorities’ plans to join NATO and the Russian Black Sea Fleet’s presence in Crimea are sowing suspicion in Moscow.
As for Yanukovych, he was conveniently in Moscow for a meeting with Russian Speaker Boris Gryzlov when the latter announced the Duma proposal.
“We are concerned by the latest statements made by Ukrainian President Viktor Yushchenko regarding the intensification of the campaign to join NATO and the premature discussion of issues related to the basing of “Russia’s” Black Sea fleet in Sevastopol after 2017 [when the basing agreement ends],” Gryzlov said during their meeting.
“This issue concerns us,” parroted Yanukovych.
Gryzlov’s statements are nothing new, but rather neatly fit in with similar rhetoric coming out of the post-Yeltsin Kremlin.
Nor has Yanukovych changed his tune, although since stepping down as premier he has been whistling the tune with more candor and gusto.
With Regions’ business wing increasingly supportive of closer economic ties to Europe, Mr. Yanukovych is more dependent than ever on the party’s more reactionary elements, who woo eastern voters with neo-Soviet propaganda.
This makes the former premier a natural friend of Putin’s Russia, which was one of only a few states to recognize Yanukovych’s fraud-filled and short-lived presidential victory in 2004.
On May 27, Yanukovych told a group of EC ambassadors that his party advocates special relations with Russia.
His remark came in the wake of Moscow Mayor Yury Luzhkov’s recent visit to Sevastopol, where the outspoken politician suggested the city be returned to Russia.
Then there was Vladimir Putin’s famous crack earlier this year about the possibility of Russia aiming nuclear missiles at Ukraine.
The Kremlin has even allowed itself to meddle in Ukraine’s domestic affairs as when Gryzlov announced that Yushchenko had no right to disband the parliament last year - a move that eventually led to fresh elections and an end to the Yanukovych government.
There is, of course, everything right with Mr. Yanukovych’s defending the interests of his constituency. Many Ukrainians support making Russian a second official language and most are against their country joining NATO.
But one would be hard pressed to argue the benefits of Ukraine prolonging the basing of the Russian Black Sea Fleet in Crimea – especially when people like Luzhkov continue to suggest that Crimea belongs to Russia.
Other members of the Regions party have cultivated suspiciously close relations with Russian gas giant Gazprom, whose aggressive Ukrainian policy makes it arguable one of the greatest threats to Ukraine’s security.
Russia has proven itself more than capable of looking after its own interests, whether through its privileged place on the UN Security Council or the sale of its abundant energy resources. The Kremlin also has more than enough levers of influence in Ukraine. Ukrainian leaders are not nearly as fortunate. Yushchenko and Tymoshenko don’t have to be “pro-Western” to want to join NATO. Ukraine’s western neighbors, including a few former Soviet republics, did just that on the way to getting EU membership. Both Orange politicians also support holding a referendum on the issue, but only after they have given their fellow citizens a chance to hear about the benefits of North-Atlantic membership. This is not easy to do, as demonstrated by incidents like the one on May 29, when pro-NATO activists in Crimea were pelted with eggs and tomatoes by leftists and pro-Russian activists.
Russian Foreign Minister Sergey Lavrov made it clear in a radio interview in April that Russia would “do everything” to keep Ukraine from joining NATO. The question is who will do “everything” for Ukraine. In a country where personal and clan interests take precedence over state interests, political unity comes at a premium. The issue of NATO membership is inherently divisive and potentially explosive in Ukraine, but it may be one of the few that the Orange parties can agree on.
John Marone, a columnist of Eurasian Home website, Kyiv, Ukraine
June 5, 2008
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Other materials on this topic
Hot topics
Digest
20.06.2008
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RUSSIA IN GLOBAL AFFAIRS: A SPECIAL CASE?
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Ukraine, in the wake of its Orange Revolution, has earned the image of a leading post-Soviet country regarding the pace of liberal reform. However, this perception of the country is to a large extent a kind of payment in advance rather than a reflection of actual results.
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10.06.2008
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ZERKALO NEDELI: THIS IS MORE THAN A CRISIS
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If Tymoshenko wants to stay in office, she needs to patch up or enlarge the coalition before the parliament’s summer vacation or block the parliament’s work by raising debatable and provocative issues or besieging the rostrum.
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03.06.2008
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ZERKALO NEDELI: DOOMED TO WAR OR PERMANENT CAMPAIGN FOR POWER
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Yulia Tymoshenko and Viktor Yanukovych have the highest ratings as potential candidates for the presidency. The only difference is that this past winter Tymoshenko was 1-2 percent ahead of Yanukovych and now their standings are exactly opposite.
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12.05.2008
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ZERKALO NEDELI: PRESIDENT IN DEEP WATER?
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Yushchenko is not ready to agree to an honorable post of parliamentary president yet. Tymoshenko showed her readiness to prolong his term as president without any elections under the condition of substantial reduction of his authority.
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05.05.2008
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ZERKALO NEDELI: “UKRAINE WILL BECOME A NATO MEMBER AND WILL HAVE GOOD RELATIONS WITH RUSSIA”, VOLODYMYR OHRYZKO
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Interview with Volodymyr Ohryzko, Minister of Foreign Affairs of Ukraine.
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22.04.2008
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ZERKALO NEDELI: LONG SONG
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If one million “active citizens” get the right to initiate, amend, or abrogate any law and even the Constitution, then the parliament may not only lose its status of the sole legislative body...
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15.04.2008
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ZERKALO NEDELI: NATO STRENGTHENS UKRAINE AND ITSELF
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"NATO has always taken Russia into account when considering the modalities of enlargement, the timing of it and the likely consequences of it. But it has never granted Russia a veto over this process or a role to play in it," James Sherr.
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03.04.2008
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RFE/RL: NATO WELCOMES CROATIA, ALBANIA, BUT ASKS UKRAINE, GEORGIA, MACEDONIA TO WAIT
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Speaking today at NATO's summit in Bucharest, Secretary-General Jaap de Hoop Scheffer said the alliance wants to welcome Ukraine and Georgia as members someday.
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31.03.2008
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WORLD SECURITY NETWORK: TOWARDS A GRAND STRATEGY FOR AN UNCERTAIN WORLD – RENEWING THE TRANSATLANTIC PARTNERSHIP
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At the upcoming NATO summit in Bucharest from April 2 - 4, 2008 the quest for a new comprehensive NATO "Grand Strategty" will be one of the most sensitive issues.
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31.03.2008
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ZERKALO NEDELI: 100 HEAD-OFF STEPS
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It is conventionally believed that in the first hundred days a new government enjoys its highest rating of popular trust and ought to use this circumstance for reforms and innovations. In this sense the new Ukrainian leadership has simply wasted its first 100 days.
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27.02.2008
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ZERKALO NEDELI: INEXACT SCIENCE
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There is an interesting and very plausible version: it is Viktor Baloha who put parliament out of operation. Allegedly, it was his idea to send the notorious letter to the NATO Secretary General.
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19.02.2008
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ZERKALO NEDELI: ARM AND LEG TO GAZPROM
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By legalizing Gazporom in our market, we won’t have any impulse for re-equipping the power-consuming industries – we will live under the patronage of Gazprom.
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13.02.2008
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ZERKALO NEDELI: INTERVIEW WITH THE POLISH FOREIGN MINISTER RADEK SIKORSKI
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Radek Sikorski has visited Kyiv for the first time since the government of Donald Tusk came to power in November.
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04.02.2008
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ZERKALO NEDELI: YUSHCNENKO’S BALANCE
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Viktor Yushchenko is definitely set to change the Constitution and sees a national referendum as the only possible way. He means to have presidential powers increased.
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29.01.2008
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ZERKALO NEDELI: OLEKSANDR PASKHAVER: “BY METING MONEY OUT TO CITIZENS AUTHORITIES DISDAIN THEM”
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President of the center for economic development on the logic of reform and the choice of means discrediting the noblest goals.
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15.01.2008
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ZERKALO NEDELI: “THE PRESIDENT AND GOVERNMENT SEE EYE TO EYE ON FOREIGN POLICY”, - VOLODYMYR OHRYZKO
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A meeting with Volodymyr Ohryzko, Foreign Minister of Ukraine, opens a series of ZN interviews with the new Cabinet members.
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25.12.2007
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ZERKALO NEDELI: LIFE BETWEEN ELECTIONS
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The fact that the upcoming year will be year of the Earth Rat is welcome news to Yuliya Tymoshenko: she was born in 1960, the year of Iron Rat. So in an astrological sense, it will be her year.
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20.12.2007
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RFE/RL: TYMOSHENKO GETS SECOND SHOT AT PREMIERSHIP
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Ukraine's parliament on December 18 confirmed Yulia Tymoshenko as prime minister, returning the controversial pro-Western politician to power three years after the Orange Revolution catapulted her to a short-lived, divisive premiership.
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07.12.2007
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UKRAYINSKA PRAVDA: WHY YULIA WILL WIN, OR PROLETARIANS OF EAST AND WEST, UNITE!
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It is not even the matter of her astounding charisma and the iron will – Yulia Tymoshenko managed to sense the optimal propaganda strategy capable of uniting the both banks of the Dnieper, both parts of Ukraine.
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03.12.2007
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ZERKALO NEDELI: THE VICTORY’S SHADOW
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“Viktor Yushchenko always makes the right decision… after he tries all other alternatives”. It is not always true, but it is absolutely true for the process of forming today’s coalition.
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26.11.2007
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ZERKALO NEDELI: MASTERCLASS FOR UKRAINE
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It seemed that the talks about gas relations between Russia and Ukraine and between Gazprom and Naftagaz Ukraine were taking their normal course... before November 22.
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19.11.2007
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UKRAYINSKA PRAVDA: ZBIGNIEW BRZEZINSKI'S SPEECH AT A ROUND TABLE "UKRAINE ON THE WAY TO STATEHOOD"
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Ukraine should not hesitate to say to its younger brother, Russia, that it should learn Ukrainian political culture.
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05.10.2007
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ECONOMICHNA PRAVDA: WHAT IS TO BE EXPECTED FROM TYMOSHENKO’S PREMIERSHIP
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Tymoshenko has learned a lesson from her recent premiership and this time, of course if she manages to enter the same river twice, she will not take thoughtless steps.
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19.02.2007
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ZERKALO NEDELI: "WE DO NOT HAVE A NEW COLD WAR. WHAT WE HAVE ARE BAD RELATIONS", - JAMES SHERR
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Were there more calculated motives behind Putin’s speech? I think so. First, on the eve of an extremely high profile visit to the Middle East, it was designed to mobilise those who could be impressed.
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13.11.2006
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ZERKALO NEDELI: “ILLUSIONIST” LAVROV AND OTHERS
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It was a good pretext for him [Lavrov] to have a close look at the processes in this country, probe into the strengths and weaknesses of the political leadership. All of this is important in the context of Vladimir Putin’s forthcoming visit to Ukraine.
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23.10.2006
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ZERKALO NEDELI: "I SEE NO THREAT TO DEMOCRACY IN UKRAINE", - JAVIER SOLANA
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It is doubtful that Solana arrived in Kyiv with the sole purpose of receiving the award from Viktor Yushchenko: he must have had other priorities in mind, especially in the light of the upcoming informal EU energy summit in Finland.
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02.05.2006
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ZERKALO NEDELI: UKRAINE’S LONG WAY TO NATO
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Kyiv actually dreamed of being invited to join the NATO Membership Action Plan (MAP) at the NATO foreign ministers’ meeting in Sofia, the Bulgarian capital. Yet it was not the alliance’s fault that it did not happen once again, despite numerous favorable conditions.
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09.03.2006
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UKRAYINSKA PRAVDA: POOR STRATEGY, THE ELECTIONS AND UKRAINE’S NATO AMBITIONS
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Ukrainian ministers continue to publicly remain optimistic about their country’s chances of NATO membership. Different dates are given for the country’s entry, from 2008-2010.
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27.02.2006
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ZERKALO NEDELI: “UKRAINE WILL REMAIN PRO-WESTERN,” SAYS POLISH PRESIDENT
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Last autumn, the Kachinski brothers - Lech and Jaroslaw - started writing a new page of Polish history as soon as the rightists won the parliamentary and presidential elections.
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05.02.2006
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ZERKALO NEDELI. BRUCE JACKSON: “NEVER HOLD ANY TALKS WITH RUSSIA ON YOUR OWN”
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The chairman of the nongovernmental organization Project on Transitional Democracies, Bruce Jackson is a well-known figure in the former “countries of People’s Democracy”.
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Expert forum
WHAT IS IN STORE FOR THE DEMOCRATIC “ORANGE” COALITION IN UKRAINE?
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DMITRY VYDRIN
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09.06.2008
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The fact that two Verkhovna Rada legislators, Igor Rybakov and Yuri Bout, have withdrawn from the democratic coalition casts doubt on its prospects.
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INFORMAL CIS SUMMIT IN ST.PETERSBURG
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VLADIMIR ZHARIKHIN
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09.06.2008
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The main result to be drawn from the informal CIS summit is that under the new Russian President Dmitry Medvedev Russia's policy in the post-Soviet space will not change drastically.
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UKRAINIAN-RUSSIAN RELATIONS
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VALERY CHALIY
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06.06.2008
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It is intolerable that, according to public opinion polls in Russia, Ukraine ranks third among the unfriendly states. In Ukraine Russia ranks first as a friendly one. Probably, this indicates that the information policies in Ukraine and Russia are different.
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YUSHCHENKO AND TYMOSHENKO: ANOTHER TRUCE?
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YURY YAKIMENKO
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06.06.2008
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I believe that President Yushchenko and Prime Minister Tymoshenko will prolong the truce till the autumn. If there are no political convulsions, no coalition reformating and if the early elections are not held before October-November, one can hope that relative political stability will be maintained in Ukraine for a longer time.
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UKRAINE: EARLY ELECTIONS OF THE KYIV MAYOR
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VITALY BALA
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29.05.2008
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I would not exaggerate the importance of the Kyiv mayoral elections in terms of their influence on the political situation in the country as a whole. Though, of course, the elections were of great importance.
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“YULIYA TYMOSHENKO WANTS TO BE DISMISSED”
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DMITRY VYDRIN
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16.05.2008
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It seems that Prime Minister Yuliya Tymoshenko wants to be dismissed. She does not want to resign, she would like to be fired.
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UKRAINE: YUSHCHENKO VERSUS TYMOSHENKO
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VITALY BALA
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14.05.2008
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The President Yushchenko’s wish to push through his version of the constitutional reform played a mean trick on him. The President and his team did not expect that Prime Minister Tymoshenko would offer such resistance. And Tymoshenko took the initiative.
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IMPERFECT CONSTITUTION CAUSES ANOTHER POLITICAL CRISIS IN UKRAINE
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ALEXEY GOLOBUTSKY
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23.04.2008
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In 2004 it came as a compromise in a sense. But Constitution is not a document for compromise, for it is a state-forming document rather than a political one.
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VLADIMIR PUTIN'S FOREIGN POLICY LEGACY. INTERNATIONAL AGENDA FOR DMITRY MEDVEDEV
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ANDREY KOKOSHIN, FIRST DEPUTY CHAIRMAN OF THE STATE DUMA COMMITTEE ON SCIENCE AND HIGH TECHNOLOGIES; FYODOR LUKYANOV, EDITOR-IN-CHIEF OF "RUSSIA IN GLOBAL AFFAIRS" MAGAZINE
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16.04.2008
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"The change consists in the fact that Russia can no longer influence the domestic policy of its neighbors. When that became clear Russia chose the pragmatic approach," Fyodor Lukyanov.
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DOES NATO ENLARGEMENT POSE A THREAT TO RUSSIA?
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KONSTANTIN ZATULIN, ALEXANDER KONOVALOV, TATYANA PARKHALINA, OLES DONIY, LEONID KOZHARA, IVAN ZAETS, ANDREW KUCHINS
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07.04.2008
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"Why do the Central and Eastern European countries seek to join NATO? For many of them it is a way to join the EU. Many countries took this as institutionalization of independence from Moscow. For many countries it was a way to return to Europe," Tatyana Parkhalina.
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NATO, THE CIS AND RUSSIA AFTER BUCHAREST
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STEPHEN BLANK
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02.04.2008
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In advance of NATO’s Bucharest summit Russia has decided to employ the traditional Soviet tactics of intimidation and blackmail to block NATO’s enlargement.
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NATO-RUSSIA BREAK: A SIGNIFICANT POSSIBILITY
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GEORGETA POURCHOT
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01.04.2008
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The Bucharest NATO summit offers a significant possibility that NATO’s and Russia’s positions on a variety of issues will further diverge, marking the beginning of the end of this uneven relationship.
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VISIT OF THE U.S. PRESIDENT GEORGE BUSH TO UKRAINE
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DMITRY VYDRIN, YEVHEN KOPATKO
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01.04.2008
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"The purpose of the visit is to enlist the Ukrainian diaspora’s support in the U.S. presidential election. The diaspora is quite numerous and has always backed the Republicans. But recently the Republicans have become less popular with the American Ukrainians," Dmitry Vydrin.
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100 DAYS FOR TYMOSHENKO’S CABINET
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VITALY BALA
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28.03.2008
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“100 days” implies carte blanche for any government. A government can do almost whatever they like within that period: reshuffle the Cabinet, put forward reforms or pursue their own economic policy. In other words, a government is given a free hand.
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EURASIA RISING: DEMOCRACY AND INDEPENDENCE IN THE POST-SOVIET SPACE
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GEORGETA POURCHOT
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14.03.2008
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Eurasian Home website with a kind permission of the Greenwood Publishing Group Inc., publishes the first chapter "Sovereignity from Within" of the book "Eurasia Rising: Democracy and Independence in the Post-Soviet Space" by the Eurasian Home website contributor Georgeta Pourchot.
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UKRAINE: A CONFLICT BETWEEN PRESIDENT YUSHCHENKO AND PRIME MINISTER TYMOSHENKO
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YURY YAKIMENKO
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06.03.2008
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As regards the conflict between the President and the Prime Minister, they compete with each other for almost everything. Virtually all of important decisions or steps taken by the Cabinet evoked a reaction from the President’s Secretariat.
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“GAS” RELATIONS BETWEEN RUSSIA AND UKRAINE: VIKTOR YUSHCHENKO AND YULIYA TYMOSHENKO’S CONFRONTATION
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VADIM KARASYOV
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03.03.2008
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It seems that the Russian authorities make it clear that as long as Tymoshenko is Prime Minister, Russia doesn’t want to be Ukraine’s partner.
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TYMOSHENKO’S GOVERNMENT AND THE RUSSIAN-UKRAINIAN RELATIONS
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VITALY BALA
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17.01.2008
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Tymoshenko’s seeking to remove the RosUkrEnergo company from the the chain of the gas supplies and transit should be considered as an element of her presidential campaign. "Gas relations" with Russia became one of her weak points during her first premiership.
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YULIYA TYMOSHENKO IS UKRAINE’S NEW PRIME MINISTER
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VADIM KARASYOV
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19.12.2007
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The election of Yuliya Tymoshenko as Ukraine’s Prime Minister is the evidence of the fact that parliamentary-electoral mechanism of government formation is being created in Ukraine.
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NATO AND RUSSIA’S BALANCING ACT
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GEORGETA POURCHOT
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02.05.2006
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NATO’s most recent informal summit in Sophia underscores a decade and a half of balancing act between two former adversaries, the North Atlantic Alliance and Russia.
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Opinion
UKRAINE’S LOSE-LOSE MENTALITY
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John Marone |
11.06.2008
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There is an old joke in Ukraine: two Ukrainians find a bottle containing a genie who grants them each a wish. The first Ukrainian requests and gets what he wants; the second Ukrainian uses his wish to cancel the wish of his countryman. The joke is that envy to the detriment of one's own interests is part of the Ukrainian national character. Certainly this seems to be the case with the country’s politicians.
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NATIONAL PROJECT WITH A STRADIVARIUS
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Boris Kagarlitsky |
10.06.2008
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Who would think that a banal song contest like Eurovision can trigger new round of the conflict between Russia and Ukraine. When Kyiv won the right to host the finals of the 50th Eurovision contest, Moscow was sick with envy and spent millions to catch up with the Western neighbor. It cost Russia several expensive but futile attempts. And finally at Eurovision 2008 Russian pop singer Dima Bilan won the contest.
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STICKING OUT THE UKRAINIAN TONGUE
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John Marone |
30.05.2008
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The crusade to raise the Ukrainian language heads and shoulders above Russian continues apace in Kyiv and other parts of the country, but as with most crusades, it’s not clear what the end goal is. Ukraine’s State Cinema Service recently announced that all films made in Ukraine must be in Ukrainian starting in July. All foreign films shown in Ukraine are already required to be dubbed or subtitled in Ukrainian.
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RESTING BETWEEN A ROCK AND A HARD PLACE
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John Marone |
13.05.2008
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Over the holiday-filled weekend, Moscow Mayor Yury Luzhkov arrived in the history-filled city of Sevastopol to challenge the history and geopolitical relations of Ukraine and Russia. The official purpose of Mr. Luzhkov's visit was to take part in the celebration of the 225th anniversary of the Russian Black Sea Fleet, which fell on Europe Day (May 11) and just after Victory Day (May 9).
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RUSSIAN PREMIER VISITS KYIV: DID HE CALL AT A BAD TIME?
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John Marone |
06.05.2008
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Russian Prime Minister Viktor Zubkov led a government delegation to Kyiv on April 25. It was only a one-day visit, and Zubkov is expected to be replaced sometime this month anyway, following the inauguration of the new Russian president.
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AN ECONOMY HELD HOSTAGE BY POLITICS
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John Marone |
18.04.2008
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It’s no secret that Ukrainian President Viktor Yushchenko and Prime Minister Yulia Tymoshenko have not enjoyed good relations for a long time. But ever since the two politicians found themselves neck and neck in the stretch for the presidency, their simmering mutual antipathy has flared up into open hostility.
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UKRAINE'S NATO BID - IT'S NOT OVER YET
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John Marone |
07.04.2008
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NATO leaders arrived for their summit in Bucharest last week in an atmosphere of uncertainty bordering on mistrust. Outgoing US president George Bush continued to push for the inclusion of Ukraine and Georgia into the alliance, while European heavyweights Germany and France voiced the opposition of older member states to further eastern expansion.
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TAKING OFF THE GLOVES
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John Marone |
31.03.2008
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The presidential campaign in America is still a three-way race between Obama, Clinton and McCain. But in Ukraine, where the elections are still two years off, it’s everyone against Yulia Tymoshenko. Appearing before a government meeting on Wednesday, March 26, the fiery female politician said her opponents had already begun attempts to undermine the fragile pro-Western majority in parliament.
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GRAIN, GAS AND INDEPENDENCE
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John Marone |
29.02.2008
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Ukrainian President Viktor Yushchenko has made international recognition of the Holodomor his personal crusade. Good for him. The famine of 1932-1933 claimed some six to eight million Ukrainian lives - as much as a quarter of the population - and it wasn’t a natural catastrophe. Yushchenko wants the Holodomor recognized as genocide, thus putting Ukraine’s tragedy on the same level as the Jewish Holocaust.
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THE MORE THINGS CHANGE, THE MORE THEY STAY THE SAME
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John Marone |
22.02.2008
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Just into his fourth year as president of Ukraine, Viktor Yushchenko is beginning to act a lot like the man he replaced during the country's Orange Revolution. Former Ukrainian President Leonid Kuchma is often remembered for waffling on Western integration, crushing freedom of speech and overseeing a state apparatus steeped in corruption.
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DON'T TOUCH THAT GAS
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John Marone |
08.02.2008
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Once again, Russia has resorted to threats and bullying in an ongoing effort to keep Ukraine subservient. And once again, its weapon of choice is gas. Most colonial divorces have been characterized by the colony cutting off the colonizer from its supply of natural resources. But with Russia, the situation is exactly the opposite - at least that's the way it seems on the surface.
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THE SMELL OF GAS IN UKRAINE
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John Marone |
31.01.2008
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Ukrainian Prime Minister Yulia Tymoshenko’s long running efforts to break the stranglehold on her country’s gas supplies are beginning to pay off – due to assistance from an unlikely ally. Russia, which has been widely accused of using gas sales to put geopolitical pressure on Ukraine and other Western neighbors, now appears to be cleaning up its act.
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NATO SUPPORTERS GO ON THE OFFENSIVE
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John Marone |
21.01.2008
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The issue of whether Ukraine should join NATO has returned to the public agenda, sparking off heated debates between supporters and opponents of the country’s bid. In the past, such polemics have usually meant proponents of Euro-Atlantic unity coming under attack by pro-Russian factions in the run up to an important election or a NATO-sponsored military exercise on home soil.
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A HAND FULL OF GAS
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John Marone |
11.01.2008
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It’s a new year, and Ukraine has a new government headed by a fiery reformer with a penchant for making high-stake gambles. Prime Minister Yulia Tymoshenko is known as the gas queen – more for how she earned her money back in the 1990’s than for how she has tried to clean up her country’s gas sector in more recent years. But clean it up she has tried, against highly formidable of opponents at home and abroad.
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TYMOSHENKO HIGH ON HER HEELS AFTER PARLIAMENTARY POLL
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John Marone |
01.10.2007
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The queen of Ukrainian politics, opposition leader Yulia Tymoshenko, was the unofficial victor in Ukraine’s snap elections on Sunday, with exit polls indicating she will head the next government. But Tymoshenko’s ascension to power will be anything but a sexy saunter, as her enemies are unlikely to allow themselves to be sidelined by a pretty populist.
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UKRAINE’S NATO DILEMMA
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John Marone |
16.07.2007
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To be or not to be a member of NATO – that is the question for Ukrainians, who still aren’t in a position to decide the issue. Public opinion polls conducted in the country continue to show that most Ukrainians are against joining the Western military alliance. But advocates of NATO membership insist that Ukrainians have not been given an accurate picture of what the alliance is about.
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UKRAINE SHOULD NOT JOIN NATO
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Jules Evans |
07.11.2005
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I was at the first US-Ukrainian conference in Boston last week. The first speaker, a former US National Security Council wonk named John Tedstrom, was particularly excited about Ukraine’s move to join NATO, which at the moment looks more realizable than its other ambition to join the EU. NATO accession, said Tedstrom, would help anchor Ukraine in a trans-Atlantic-focused foreign policy.
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Our authors
Geopolitical influence is an expensive thing. The Soviet Union realized that well supporting the Communist regimes and movements all over the world including Cuba and North Korea. The current Russian authorities also understood that when they agreed that Ukraine would not pay Russia $40 billion for the gas in return for extension of the lease allowing Russia's Black Sea Fleet to be stationed in the Crimea.
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The case of Kurmanbek Bakiyev is consistent with the logic of the Belarusian authorities’ actions towards the plane crash near Smolensk. The decisions not to demonstrate the “Katyn” film and not to announce the mourning were made emotionally, to spite Moscow and Warsaw, without thinking about their consequences and about reaction of the society and the neighbouring countries.
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Explosions take place in Russia again. The last week of March started with terrorist acts at the Moscow metro stations which were followed by blasts in the Dagestani city of Kizlar. The horror spread from the metro to the whole city.
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Ukrainian President Viktor Yanukovych symbolically selected Brussels as his first foreign visit upon taking the oath of office in what can only be seen as an exercise in public relations. The new government of Prime Minister Mykola Azarov headed straight for Moscow shortly thereafter with the sole intention of cutting a deal.
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The protest actions, which the Russian extraparliamentary opposition had scheduled for March 20, were held as planned, they surprised or frightened nobody. Just as it had been expected, the activists of many organizations supporting the Wrath Day took to the streets… but saw there only the policemen, journalists and each other.
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As I write, angry demonstrations continue in Tehran and elsewhere in the Islamic Republic of Iran, over what the young demonstrators perceive as the blatant rigging of the presidential election to keep Mahmoud Ahmadinejad in power for another five years. Reports suggest at least eight protestors have been killed by police.
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The cri… no the word will not be uttered. Now that President Medvedev and Prime Minister Putin have finally allowed themselves to belatedly use the word, it’s becoming increasingly difficult for me to spit it out of these lips. It’s c-this and c-that. If there was C-Span in Russia then it would be c-ing all day and all night long.
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