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INFORMAL CIS SUMMIT IN ST.PETERSBURG
VLADIMIR ZHARIKHIN,
Deputy Director of the Institute of CIS Countries, Moscow
The main result to be drawn from the informal CIS summit is that under the new Russian President Dmitry Medvedev Russia's policy in the post-Soviet space will not change drastically.
Secondly, the Russian President demonstrated how he was going to talk with the leaders of the post-Soviet states. In spite of his friendly smile, he champions the national interests in a tough way.
So, if somebody believed that Medvedev’s smile would mean his losing ground, he must have been disappointed. At least, two summit participants – Georgia's President Mikheil Saakashvili and Ukrainian leader Viktor Yushchenko – most certainly pinned their hopes on that.
I predicted that Medvedev would implement his predecessor's policy. Under Vladimir Putin he was the Chief of Staff of the Presidential Executive Office that, as we know, in many respects defined the foreign policy, and headed Gazprom Board of Directors.
As for the negotiations with Ukraine, several issues concerning the Russian-Ukrainian relations (for example NATO, Sevastopol and others) are usually discussed separately. But these issues should be considered together. President of Ukraine Viktor Yushchenko’s efforts backfired on him. Because of his attacks on Russia and his anti-Russian policy, Ukraine can no longer expect that the gas price will continue to be increased gradually. For a long time Russia pursued this course despite Ukraine’s unwillingness to coordinate its actions with Russia’s interests. From now on the gas price for Ukraine will be established at the European level. I think that Russia will carry out the same policy on the other issues – the Crimea, Sevastopol, etc.
If we are talking about Georgia, President Mikheil Saakashvili has to get used to Medvedev’s mild and, at the same time, tough behavior. Few people paid attention to the Russian President’s words that our European friends were worried that Russia and Georgia would resolve their issues on their own. As a matter of fact, the President made it clear that the Georgian authorities should not hope that a foreign country would support them and would help them to settle the Georgian-Abkhazian problem.
Thus, Russia’s policy is mild in terms of its form, but tough in terms of its content. This seems to be a new style of the Russian foreign policy towards the CIS countries, as well as others.
June 9, 2008
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Other materials on this topic
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09.07.2008
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20.06.2008
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Ukraine, in the wake of its Orange Revolution, has earned the image of a leading post-Soviet country regarding the pace of liberal reform. However, this perception of the country is to a large extent a kind of payment in advance rather than a reflection of actual results.
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05.05.2008
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Notwithstanding Russia’s energy riches and political resolve, several factors can prevent the Kremlin from retaining a desired level of control over formerly Soviet Eurasia.
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27.02.2008
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There is an interesting and very plausible version: it is Viktor Baloha who put parliament out of operation. Allegedly, it was his idea to send the notorious letter to the NATO Secretary General.
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19.02.2008
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ZERKALO NEDELI: ARM AND LEG TO GAZPROM
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15.01.2008
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ZERKALO NEDELI: “THE PRESIDENT AND GOVERNMENT SEE EYE TO EYE ON FOREIGN POLICY”, - VOLODYMYR OHRYZKO
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A meeting with Volodymyr Ohryzko, Foreign Minister of Ukraine, opens a series of ZN interviews with the new Cabinet members.
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26.11.2007
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ZERKALO NEDELI: MASTERCLASS FOR UKRAINE
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It seemed that the talks about gas relations between Russia and Ukraine and between Gazprom and Naftagaz Ukraine were taking their normal course... before November 22.
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19.11.2007
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UKRAYINSKA PRAVDA: ZBIGNIEW BRZEZINSKI'S SPEECH AT A ROUND TABLE "UKRAINE ON THE WAY TO STATEHOOD"
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Ukraine should not hesitate to say to its younger brother, Russia, that it should learn Ukrainian political culture.
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02.05.2006
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ZERKALO NEDELI: UKRAINE’S LONG WAY TO NATO
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Kyiv actually dreamed of being invited to join the NATO Membership Action Plan (MAP) at the NATO foreign ministers’ meeting in Sofia, the Bulgarian capital. Yet it was not the alliance’s fault that it did not happen once again, despite numerous favorable conditions.
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Expert forum
UKRAINIAN-RUSSIAN RELATIONS
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VALERY CHALIY
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06.06.2008
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It is intolerable that, according to public opinion polls in Russia, Ukraine ranks third among the unfriendly states. In Ukraine Russia ranks first as a friendly one. Probably, this indicates that the information policies in Ukraine and Russia are different.
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SITUATION IN ABKHAZIA
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SERGEI BAGAPSH
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22.05.2008
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What will Abkhazia do, if Georgia joins NATO? Abkhazia will do nothing. Let Georgia join NATO even tomorrow. We do not care about that.
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“RUSSIAN-GEORGIAN RELATIONS CAN BECOME MUCH BETTER”
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EROSI KITSMARISHVILI
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21.05.2008
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Currently, there are several negative points in the Russian-Georgian relations. The first one is Georgia’s bid for the NATO membership, the second one is Tbilisi’s conflict with the breakaway territories – Abkhazia and South Ossetia. There are also the problems of the bilateral relations.
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THE RUSSIAN-GEORGIAN RELATIONS
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ZAAL ANJAPARIDZE
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25.04.2008
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Almost all significant political forces in Georgia, including the ruling party, say that there are sufficient reasons for making the compromises with Russia that would not infringe upon Georgia’s national interests.
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VLADIMIR PUTIN'S FOREIGN POLICY LEGACY. INTERNATIONAL AGENDA FOR DMITRY MEDVEDEV
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ANDREY KOKOSHIN, FIRST DEPUTY CHAIRMAN OF THE STATE DUMA COMMITTEE ON SCIENCE AND HIGH TECHNOLOGIES; FYODOR LUKYANOV, EDITOR-IN-CHIEF OF "RUSSIA IN GLOBAL AFFAIRS" MAGAZINE
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16.04.2008
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"The change consists in the fact that Russia can no longer influence the domestic policy of its neighbors. When that became clear Russia chose the pragmatic approach," Fyodor Lukyanov.
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PRESIDENT OF GEORGIA OFFERS ABKHAZIA BROAD FEDERALISM
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ALEXANDER KRYLOV, ALEKSEY MALASHENKO, ANATOLY OTYRBA, SERGEI MARKEDONOV, SHALVA PICHKHADZE, ZURAB ABASHIDZE, IVLIAN KHAINDRAVA
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14.04.2008
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"For the first time the President of Georgia has put forward such far-reaching proposals," Alexander Krylov.
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DOES NATO ENLARGEMENT POSE A THREAT TO RUSSIA?
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KONSTANTIN ZATULIN, ALEXANDER KONOVALOV, TATYANA PARKHALINA, OLES DONIY, LEONID KOZHARA, IVAN ZAETS, ANDREW KUCHINS
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07.04.2008
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"Why do the Central and Eastern European countries seek to join NATO? For many of them it is a way to join the EU. Many countries took this as institutionalization of independence from Moscow. For many countries it was a way to return to Europe," Tatyana Parkhalina.
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NATO, THE CIS AND RUSSIA AFTER BUCHAREST
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STEPHEN BLANK
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02.04.2008
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In advance of NATO’s Bucharest summit Russia has decided to employ the traditional Soviet tactics of intimidation and blackmail to block NATO’s enlargement.
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NATO-RUSSIA BREAK: A SIGNIFICANT POSSIBILITY
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GEORGETA POURCHOT
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01.04.2008
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The Bucharest NATO summit offers a significant possibility that NATO’s and Russia’s positions on a variety of issues will further diverge, marking the beginning of the end of this uneven relationship.
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WILL THE POST-SOVIET BREAKAWAY REGIONS BE RECOGNIZED?
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19.03.2008
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"If to look at a map, one can realize that in the event of the conflict in Abkhazia the Georgian party is doomed to defeat, as has happened before. This is why Abkhazia has a very good chance of becoming independent," Sergei Arutyunov.
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EURASIA RISING: DEMOCRACY AND INDEPENDENCE IN THE POST-SOVIET SPACE
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GEORGETA POURCHOT
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14.03.2008
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Eurasian Home website with a kind permission of the Greenwood Publishing Group Inc., publishes the first chapter "Sovereignity from Within" of the book "Eurasia Rising: Democracy and Independence in the Post-Soviet Space" by the Eurasian Home website contributor Georgeta Pourchot.
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THE RUSSIAN-GEORGIAN RELATIONS AND THE SITUATION WITH SOUTH OSSETIA AND ABKHAZIA
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KONSTANTIN GABASHVILI
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06.03.2008
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Georgia’s wishing to change the format of the Mixed Verification Committee on Settlement of the Georgian-Ossetic conflict and the consideration by the State Duma of the Russian Federation of the situation with South Ossetia and Abkhazia during the March 13 parliament hearings are different things.
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“GAS” RELATIONS BETWEEN RUSSIA AND UKRAINE: VIKTOR YUSHCHENKO AND YULIYA TYMOSHENKO’S CONFRONTATION
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VADIM KARASYOV
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03.03.2008
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It seems that the Russian authorities make it clear that as long as Tymoshenko is Prime Minister, Russia doesn’t want to be Ukraine’s partner.
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CIS INFORMAL SUMMIT
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ALEKSANDR RAHR
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26.02.2008
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All the CIS leaders arrived in Moscow on Friday to participate in the informal summit. This indicates their respect for Russia’s President Vladimir Putin who steps down in spring. Unlike ex-President Boris Yeltsin, Putin did his best to create the working atmosphere within the CIS. Much was done in the sphere of the economic integration.
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NEW PROPOSALS OF THE UKRAINIAN GOVERNMENT IN THE ENERGY SECTOR: ECONOMIC AND POLITICAL ASPECTS
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12.02.2008
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"There is a need to get rid of the mediator RosUkrEnergo, and then to increase the tariff of the Russian gas transit through Ukraine. Third point is the presentation of the White Flow gas pipeline project," Volodymyr Saprykin.
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UKRAINE SIGNED THE PROTOCOL ON JOINING THE WTO
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VITALY BALA
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06.02.2008
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No large-scale information campaign on Ukraine’s joining the WTO was conducted in the country. Therefore, the Ukrainians do not understand very well what is in store for them and which advantages and disadvantages for Ukraine the entry conceals.
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WILL THE VECTOR OF RUSSIAN-GEORGIAN RELATIONS CHANGE?
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SERGEI MARKEDONOV
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24.01.2008
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It is unlikely that after the election President Mikheil Saakashvili has changed his position on Georgian-Russian relations. For the time being, the statements about his wish to normalize those relations cannot be taken seriously.
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TYMOSHENKO’S GOVERNMENT AND THE RUSSIAN-UKRAINIAN RELATIONS
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VITALY BALA
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17.01.2008
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Tymoshenko’s seeking to remove the RosUkrEnergo company from the the chain of the gas supplies and transit should be considered as an element of her presidential campaign. "Gas relations" with Russia became one of her weak points during her first premiership.
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WHY UKRAINE NEEDS THE COMMONWEALTH OF INDEPENDENT STATES
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ANDREY MISHIN
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07.12.2006
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The CIS is of great help for the multilateral cooperation with the neighbors. Ukraine’s withdrawal from the CIS would result in the paralysis of the economy, and of the transport infrastructure in the first place.
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THE COMMONWEALTH OF INDEPENDENT STATES ANNIVERSARY SUMMIT
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VLADIMIR ROMANENKO
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27.11.2006
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Today we have the basis for reshaping the CIS architecture making it really effective. This basis has been indicated by Kazakh President Nursultan Nazarbayev – it consists in perceiving the CIS as a free space of the post-Soviet integration.
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ECONOMIC INTEGRATION IN THE CIS: PROSPECTS OF THE SINGLE ECONOMIC SPACE
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TATYANA STANOVAYA
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23.08.2005
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On August 27-29, Kazan, the capital of Tatarstan, will host a summit of the Commonwealth of Independent States (CIS), where Russia is to present a new cooperation agenda.
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UKRAINE-RUSSIA RELATIONS: GAS PROBLEMS
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TATYANA STANOVAYA
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17.06.2005
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Ukraine is planning to raise the question of liquidating the gas consortium, which was established in 2002 with the blessing of the Russian and Ukrainian presidents and German Chancellor Gerhard Schroeder.
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Opinion
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John Marone |
11.06.2008
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There is an old joke in Ukraine: two Ukrainians find a bottle containing a genie who grants them each a wish. The first Ukrainian requests and gets what he wants; the second Ukrainian uses his wish to cancel the wish of his countryman. The joke is that envy to the detriment of one's own interests is part of the Ukrainian national character. Certainly this seems to be the case with the country’s politicians.
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WESTERN INTEGRATION – THE GREAT ORANGE HOPE
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John Marone |
05.06.2008
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Ukrainian President Viktor Yushchenko and his one-time ally Prime Minister Yulia Tymoshenko have increasingly traded blows over the country’s budget, privatization, energy policy and, most recently, the Kyiv mayoral elections; however, when it comes to foreign policy, the two politicians who rose to power during Ukraine’s 2004 Orange Revolution show unusual and possibly even unintended solidarity.
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STICKING OUT THE UKRAINIAN TONGUE
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John Marone |
30.05.2008
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The crusade to raise the Ukrainian language heads and shoulders above Russian continues apace in Kyiv and other parts of the country, but as with most crusades, it’s not clear what the end goal is. Ukraine’s State Cinema Service recently announced that all films made in Ukraine must be in Ukrainian starting in July. All foreign films shown in Ukraine are already required to be dubbed or subtitled in Ukrainian.
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RESTING BETWEEN A ROCK AND A HARD PLACE
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John Marone |
13.05.2008
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Over the holiday-filled weekend, Moscow Mayor Yury Luzhkov arrived in the history-filled city of Sevastopol to challenge the history and geopolitical relations of Ukraine and Russia. The official purpose of Mr. Luzhkov's visit was to take part in the celebration of the 225th anniversary of the Russian Black Sea Fleet, which fell on Europe Day (May 11) and just after Victory Day (May 9).
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RUSSIAN PREMIER VISITS KYIV: DID HE CALL AT A BAD TIME?
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John Marone |
06.05.2008
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Russian Prime Minister Viktor Zubkov led a government delegation to Kyiv on April 25. It was only a one-day visit, and Zubkov is expected to be replaced sometime this month anyway, following the inauguration of the new Russian president.
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UKRAINE'S NATO BID - IT'S NOT OVER YET
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John Marone |
07.04.2008
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NATO leaders arrived for their summit in Bucharest last week in an atmosphere of uncertainty bordering on mistrust. Outgoing US president George Bush continued to push for the inclusion of Ukraine and Georgia into the alliance, while European heavyweights Germany and France voiced the opposition of older member states to further eastern expansion.
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GRAIN, GAS AND INDEPENDENCE
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John Marone |
29.02.2008
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Ukrainian President Viktor Yushchenko has made international recognition of the Holodomor his personal crusade. Good for him. The famine of 1932-1933 claimed some six to eight million Ukrainian lives - as much as a quarter of the population - and it wasn’t a natural catastrophe. Yushchenko wants the Holodomor recognized as genocide, thus putting Ukraine’s tragedy on the same level as the Jewish Holocaust.
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DON'T TOUCH THAT GAS
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John Marone |
08.02.2008
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Once again, Russia has resorted to threats and bullying in an ongoing effort to keep Ukraine subservient. And once again, its weapon of choice is gas. Most colonial divorces have been characterized by the colony cutting off the colonizer from its supply of natural resources. But with Russia, the situation is exactly the opposite - at least that's the way it seems on the surface.
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THE SMELL OF GAS IN UKRAINE
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John Marone |
31.01.2008
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Ukrainian Prime Minister Yulia Tymoshenko’s long running efforts to break the stranglehold on her country’s gas supplies are beginning to pay off – due to assistance from an unlikely ally. Russia, which has been widely accused of using gas sales to put geopolitical pressure on Ukraine and other Western neighbors, now appears to be cleaning up its act.
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NATO SUPPORTERS GO ON THE OFFENSIVE
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John Marone |
21.01.2008
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The issue of whether Ukraine should join NATO has returned to the public agenda, sparking off heated debates between supporters and opponents of the country’s bid. In the past, such polemics have usually meant proponents of Euro-Atlantic unity coming under attack by pro-Russian factions in the run up to an important election or a NATO-sponsored military exercise on home soil.
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A HAND FULL OF GAS
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John Marone |
11.01.2008
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It’s a new year, and Ukraine has a new government headed by a fiery reformer with a penchant for making high-stake gambles. Prime Minister Yulia Tymoshenko is known as the gas queen – more for how she earned her money back in the 1990’s than for how she has tried to clean up her country’s gas sector in more recent years. But clean it up she has tried, against highly formidable of opponents at home and abroad.
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UKRAINE’S NATO DILEMMA
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John Marone |
16.07.2007
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To be or not to be a member of NATO – that is the question for Ukrainians, who still aren’t in a position to decide the issue. Public opinion polls conducted in the country continue to show that most Ukrainians are against joining the Western military alliance. But advocates of NATO membership insist that Ukrainians have not been given an accurate picture of what the alliance is about.
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UKRAINE SHOULD NOT JOIN NATO
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Jules Evans |
07.11.2005
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I was at the first US-Ukrainian conference in Boston last week. The first speaker, a former US National Security Council wonk named John Tedstrom, was particularly excited about Ukraine’s move to join NATO, which at the moment looks more realizable than its other ambition to join the EU. NATO accession, said Tedstrom, would help anchor Ukraine in a trans-Atlantic-focused foreign policy.
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Author’s opinion on other topics
POLITICAL CRISIS IN KYRGYZSTAN
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08 November 2006
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Сurrent events in Kyrgyzstan should be viewed as logical development of the post-revolutionary situation. Ukraine, for example, has passed through similar scenario.
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POLITICAL SITUATION IN UKRAINE
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28 June 2006
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President Viktor Yushchenko tries to create the system of checks and balances. Such attempts have already been made, and failed. Now this will lead to no good, since balances are initially prone to conflicts. Even if the coalition with the Party of Regions was formed, it would make no difference.
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GEORGIA’S PROSPECTS ON ITS WITHDRAWAL FROM THE CIS
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04 May 2006
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The economic preferences, which some of the CIS countries have due to the Russian authorities’ decision, such as gas delivery at a cut price, etc. have nothing to do with the CIS Charter. It is a matter of the bilateral relations.
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AGENDA OF PRESIDENT VLADIMIR PUTIN’S VISIT TO AZERBAIJAN
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20 February 2006
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In course of his visit to Azerbaijan on February 21-22, Russian President Vladimir Putin will touch upon a number of major issues.
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