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GEORGIA WAS REFUSED THE ADMISSION TO NATO MEMBERSHIP ACTION PLAN
ALEXANDER RONDELI,
President of the Georgian Foundation for Strategic and International Studies, Tbilisi
The decision of the NATO Foreign Ministers meeting not to allow Georgia to join NATO Membership Action Plan did not surprise Tbilisi or anybody else. Georgia has received an annual plan for 2009, but its substance is not known.
Today a number of European countries, above all, Germany are interested in close cooperation with Russia. That’s why the NATO member states have different views about Georgia, and Tbilisi understands that. Many European countries need Russian gas, market, etc. Russia’s bringing its troops into Georgia in August is of importance too.
Strategically, this will not influence Georgia’s policy– Tbilisi is going to join NATO in the future. Only the tactics will change.
Apart from that, many things will hinge on Georgia’s internal situation. For the time being, Georgia does not face much of the economic crisis, but it will do. Time will show whether the Western aid will help Georgia to overcome the crisis and restore the country after the August war.
But NATO meeting is unlikely to worsen Mikheil Saakashvili stance. Success improves a politician’s position while a failure weakens it. But now emotions prevail in Georgia: after the NATO meeting the number of Mr. Saakashvili’s supporters and opponents remained unchanged.
December 5, 2008
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