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DETERIORATION OF THE RUSSIAN-GEORGIAN RELATIONS

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ALEXANDER RONDELI,
President of the Georgian Foundation for Strategic and International Studies, Tbilisi

I do not think there is a relation between the UN Security Council meeting where the Russian fighter jets’ violations of the Georgian airspace were discussed and the withdrawal of the Russian railroad troops from Abkhazia. Russia withdrew the troops not because the international community had put pressure on it. What is more, this step cannot be regarded as a concession to Georgia.

The fact is that the railroad troops have completed their works. They have repaired the track that may be used to supply the military equipment and provisions in case of the hostilities. That’s why there is no point in speaking about concessions on the part of Moscow.

As regards the UN Security Council meeting, there exist ambiguous estimates of it. The Russian media interpret the event as Russia’s success. In Georgia the UN Security Council meeting results are considered to be the victory of the Georgian diplomats. But the facts show that Georgia did its best to address its concerns over the bad relations with Russia to the international community.

The reason why Georgia has made an appeal to the world community is not the NATO summit in Bucharest in April 2008 where the issue of Georgia’s accession to the NATO Membership Action Plan was examined. The reason is that the Russian authorities decided to bring extra troops in Abkhazia and to lift the trade-economic sanctions.

The world community realizes that Russia’s actions in Abkhazia and South Ossetia resemble annexation. In my opinion Russia is not ready to make concessions. Quite the contrary, it tries to provoke Tbilisi into using force. If that is so, Moscow will achieve its goal – it will prove that Georgia is an aggressor, that it follows the ethnic nationalistic policy and doesn't want to keep the peace.

In Russia the appropriate work has been carried out. Now Georgia is almost the main enemy of Russia, like the USA. We find that ridiculous. But at present the Russian people really believe that Georgia should be given a good lesson.

July 23, 2008




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