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“NIKOLOZ GILAURI IS ONE OF THE MOST EXPERIENCED MINISTERS”

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GHIA NODIA,
Professor of Ilia Chavchavadze University, director of School of the Caucasian Studies, Tbilisi

The frequent change of Prime Ministers creates the prerequisites for the political instability in Georgia. But every time the Premiers were replaced for certain reasons. For this time, ex-Prime Minister Grigol Mgaloblishvili was really ill and he went to Germany twice to have his kidneys treated. Though it was rumored that before the New Year President Mikheil Saakashvili and Prime Minister Mgaloblishvili had clashed with each other.

The main advantage of new Premier Nikoloz Gilauri is that he is one of the most experienced Georgian ministers. He is a well-known politician and he knows the government officials well, which means that he can take over the reins of government immediately, without preparation. Two his predecessors did not have a clear view of the Cabinet work before becoming Prime Minister.

Frequent changes of Prime Ministers are good for the opposition members. They can criticize the authorities more actively, talk about the instability, but they do not care who will be the next Prime Minister.

The problem of the Georgian opposition is that, at least, the majority of its members are not united. The opposition comes out for the early parliamentary and presidential elections but there is no enough public discontent to hold them.

The oppositionists believe that the West is displeased with Mikheil Saakashvili and that it will actively favor the change of power in Georgia. But, as a matter of fact, neither the U.S.A. nor Europe is interested in destabilization of the situation in Georgia, although they can criticize the President for some reason or other.

But the Georgian oppositionists’ hope that the West seeks an alternative leader, among other things, resulted in the fact that they managed to convince Iraklii Alasania, former Georgia’s representative to the UN, that they needed a figure close to the West. This can be Iraklii Alasania, but the majority of the Georgian population knows him poorly.

February 6, 2009




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